Breakdown of the Republican Party and its Chance for the White House in 2016

By Matthew Hayward

Now here is some political analytical truth. Two factions of the Republican Party, the ‘Christian conservatives’ and the Libertarians, have been working together in different capacities around the nation to restore integrity, first the GOP and second the Constitution. To one degree or another, the Tea Party is essentially made up of these two factions;. However, there are stark differences; we all agree that the party has moved so far to the left that it no longer represents people who believe in less government. So where do the Libertarian wing and the ‘Christian conservatives’ part ways?

Libertarian-leaning Republicans have some things in common with the mainstream or moderate Republicans. Where moderates and ‘Christian conservatives often differ the most on social issues, the Libertarian wing falls closer to the ‘moderates.’ In fact, it could be argued that the Libertarian wing is the real moderate wing of the Party, and everyone agrees that the Republican Party needs more moderates, but what is a moderate?

Perhaps A moderate Republican is a person who believes we should not spend more than we raise in revenue, meaning we should not print or borrow the difference. Perhaps A moderate is socially tolerable because they believe in a limited government that stays out of people's bedrooms, differing from liberal Republicans who support social tolerance through government involvement.

There it is, a moderate believes the government should stay out of our wallets and our bedrooms, and they should be constrained by the same economic laws that individuals are. Rand Paul 2016!

One thing is true, The Republican Party cannot win without uniting these factions. It is not likely that we are going to see the ‘Christian conservatives’ getting behind social moderates, and it is unlikely you will see Libertarian Republicans backing big government establishment folks of either ilk. The future of the Party has been uncertain, and its future is bleak. The country will not elect a hard social conservative; it’s not going to happen, at least not one that believes in using the government to force their beliefs on others.

This is where I think the Libertarian wing had a shot in 2016. The Libertarian wing has a larger number of personal social conservatives than the Democrats or even perhaps the ‘moderate’ Republicans. That said, the Libertarian wing does not support pro-social conservative federal legislation or legislation that promotes or endorses liberal social behaviors. This is an area that ‘Christian conservatives’ are starting to understand more, and I can see them coming around. The moderates are already there and could care less about social issues; for the most part, they only care about winning.

‘Moderates’ like ‘Christian conservatives ‘cannot win over the youth or the minority vote; the Libertarian wing can. The Libertarian wing is the only one left with any creditability to talk about civil liberties and what it means to be free.

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